I’ve been playing a lot of Six-Card Poker at my local casinos, as it’s pretty relaxing to play the Ante bet and the Aces Up bonus. Occasionally, I’ll play the 2-Way Bad Beat bonus, depending on my mood, and the mood of the table. But generally, its 10.8% house edge takes all the fun out of that side bet.
On the other hand, I don’t mind giving up a little house edge in order to play some hands blind, especially when the dealer’s three upcards look harmless. It’s pretty funny, given that most people spend a lot of time squeezing their hands, looking for enough to call the dealer. Instead, I realized that for certain weak dealer upcards, it only costs about 5% of reduced EV to call the hand blind. This may sound like a lot, given that I won’t play the Bad Beat bonus because of it’s 10.8% house edge. But overall, I only call about 28% of the hands blind, which total to a 1.4% penalty per hand relative to basic strategy. It’s worth all the fun, the lulz, and effort saved.
The table below breaks down the blind call strategy for the given hierarchy of dealer upcard types, sorted in top-down order. Note that each row of the table pulls all the remaining hands encompassed by the description type, and the rest fall down through the rows below. I suggest playing blind for only the bottom 3 rows of the table, which add up to 28% of all hands dealt, with total a per-hand cost of 1.4% of the Ante. (Note the cost of playing all hands blind adds up to about 18% of the Ante.)
|Dealer Upcard Type||Frequency||Blind Call
|any pair, else||0.1693||-55.7%||-0.0943|
|any Ace, else||0.1906||-19.4%||-0.0369|
|any King, else||0.1594||-11.7%||-0.0186|
|any Queen, else||0.1306||-6.8%||-0.0088|
|all three suited, else||0.0219||-8.3%||-0.0018|
|no-gap 4-5-6 or higher, else||0.0160||-8.4%||-0.0013|
|one-gap 4-5-7 or higher, else||0.0273||-6.9%||-0.0019|
|reaches 6-high+ straight, else||0.0490||-4.9%||-0.0029|
|other two suited, else||0.1399||-4.8%||-0.0068|
|all other (rainbow)||0.0935||-4.7%||-0.0044|
For the 28% of hands played blind, most would have been played anyways by basic strategy. Only 18% of these blind calls would have been folds. Generally, it adds a bit of excitement to see your hand after the dealer’s, and usually, you don’t end up regretting the blind call. I don’t care about the cost, I play these hands blind. It usually makes for a fun table.